Effects Based Operations: Applying Network Centric Warfare by Edward Allen Smith

By Edward Allen Smith

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Extra resources for Effects Based Operations: Applying Network Centric Warfare in Peace, Crisis, and War

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It has a credibility threshold. 16 But, there is a Catch-22 aspect to this. As the magnitude of the damage that can be credibly threatened decreases, the consequences and risks attached to the enemy action also decrease. And, the lower the risks, the more likely the deterrence is to be tested, as long as the Chapter 1 15 adversary perceives the risks to be manageable. This suggests that as long as the challenger can control the level of conflict to avoid a large-scale reprisal, he would have considerable freedom of action.

Our network-centric and effects-based operations concepts and technologies will not and cannot be developed in splendid isolation and then sprung on an unsuspecting enemy. The technologies involved are too widely available and the discussions of their potential uses are too widespread for this to be a realistic possibility. The real question is not whether would-be challengers will react to our efforts to pursue network-centric and effects-based operations, but when, where, and how. No prospective challenger can be expected to remain static and unchanging in the face of the efforts we are making.

This awareness lends force to the entire movement for change, political and economic, as well as social. The course of this internationalization has not and will not be smooth. 4 There will be violent reactions and often destabilizing changes in established cultures and institutions. And, those who oppose change will see conflict as a way to disrupt the movement toward globalization. 5 Herein lies the threat to American security. The United States can control neither the movement toward a new international system nor the violent reactions to it, yet the United States, its citizens, and its interests will clearly be a principal target.

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